Williamstown

Current member: Melissa Horne (Labor)Standing again

Swing comparison

Labor advantage

Our published comparison is a 9-point swing to the Coalition: a chosen what-if, not a prediction for this seat.

2022 result used for this comparison

Labor 63.4%36.6% Coalition

With the selected swing

Labor 54.4%45.6% Coalition

With a 9-point swing to the Coalition (a shift in vote share), it would be Labor 54.4% to the Coalition’s 45.6%, a margin of 4.4 points.

This assumes Labor and the Coalition are the final two here.

Announced candidates

Tony BriffaIndependent
Gil GannonWest Party
Ben HockingGreens
Melissa HorneLaborSitting member
Paul LindemannLiberal
Catherine LoughnanOne Nation
Oskar MartinVictorian Socialists

Source: Poll Bludger. Official ballot after nominations close on 9 November 2026.

What to watch

The likely final two (our assessment)

Labor v Coalition

What remains uncertain

The swing comparison leaves out the candidates, local issues and any poll of this seat.

Betting market

Sportsbet listed no market for this seat on 16 October 2026.

Gambling help: 1800 858 858 or gamblinghelponline.org.au.

Last election results

The 2022 general election

Labor received 63.4% of the vote between the final two, to the Coalition’s 36.6%, a margin of 13.4 points (the winning share above 50%). (pollbludger.net)

First preferences, 2022

Melissa Horne Labor41.5%
Daria Kellander Liberal28%
Suzette Rodoreda Greens15.4%
Rochelle Fisher Democratic Labour4.2%
Julien Q. Macandili Victorian Socialists3.9%

3 other candidates, 6.9% between them.

See all results

Williamstown, 2022: first-preference votes by candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Change since 2018
Melissa Horne	Labor	16,173	41.5%	-8.2
Daria Kellander	Liberal	10,928	28%	+7.9
Suzette Rodoreda	Greens	6,013	15.4%	+2.1
Rochelle Fisher	Democratic Labour	1,632	4.2%	New
Julien Q. Macandili	Victorian Socialists	1,528	3.9%	New
Patricia Mackevicius	Animal Justice	1,049	2.7%	+0.5
Alexander Ansalone	Freedom	976	2.5%	New
Joshua Mosely	Family First	675	1.7%	New

Final two in the count: Melissa Horne (Labor) 62.6% · Daria Kellander (Liberal) 37.4%. 38,974 formal votes, 1,878 informal. The swing comparison uses the final-two figure in our worksheet, which differs from this count by a few tenths. (pollbludger.net)

Updated 19 October 2026Version details

Published: 19 October 2026 at 12:37 am AEDT
Data up to: 16 October 2026
Model: Worksheet swing comparison 1.2.0, settings 1.4
Version: rel-20261018T133610Z-5cf34c2d