Wendouree

Current member: Juliana Addison (Labor)Standing again

Swing comparison

Labor lean

Our published comparison is a 9-point swing to the Coalition: a chosen what-if, not a prediction for this seat.

2022 result used for this comparison

Labor 61.9%38.1% Coalition

With the selected swing

Labor 52.9%47.1% Coalition

With a 9-point swing to the Coalition (a shift in vote share), it would be Labor 52.9% to the Coalition’s 47.1%, a margin of 2.9 points.

This assumes Labor and the Coalition are the final two here.

Announced candidates

Juliana AddisonLaborSitting member
Ellen BurnsGreens
Melissa CollinsAnimal Justice
Chris MeagherVictorian Socialists
Stuart RobinsonOne Nation

Source: Poll Bludger. Official ballot after nominations close on 9 November 2026.

What to watch

The likely final two (our assessment)

Labor v Coalition

What remains uncertain

The swing comparison leaves out the candidates, local issues and any poll of this seat.

Betting market

Sportsbet listed no market for this seat on 16 October 2026.

Gambling help: 1800 858 858 or gamblinghelponline.org.au.

Last election results

The 2022 general election

Labor received 61.9% of the vote between the final two, to the Coalition’s 38.1%, a margin of 11.9 points (the winning share above 50%). (pollbludger.net)

First preferences, 2022

Juliana Addison Labor47.6%
Samantha McIntosh Liberal29.8%
Ellen Burns Greens10.4%
Ian Harkness Family First3.8%
Bryn Hills Animal Justice3.8%

2 other candidates, 4.7% between them.

See all results

Wendouree, 2022: first-preference votes by candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Change since 2018
Juliana Addison	Labor	20,059	47.6%	-2.9
Samantha McIntosh	Liberal	12,548	29.8%	-4.4
Ellen Burns	Greens	4,386	10.4%	+1.5
Ian Harkness	Family First	1,616	3.8%	New
Bryn Hills	Animal Justice	1,602	3.8%	+0.2
Dianne Colbert	Democratic Labour	1,509	3.6%	New
Bren Eckel	Independent	455	1.1%	New

Final two in the count: Juliana Addison (Labor) 63.5% · Samantha McIntosh (Liberal) 36.5%. 42,175 formal votes, 2,396 informal. The swing comparison uses the final-two figure in our worksheet, which differs from this count by a few tenths. (pollbludger.net)

Updated 19 October 2026Version details

Published: 19 October 2026 at 12:37 am AEDT
Data up to: 16 October 2026
Model: Worksheet swing comparison 1.2.0, settings 1.4
Version: rel-20261018T133610Z-5cf34c2d