South-West Coast

Swing comparison

Coalition advantage

Our published comparison is a 9-point swing to the Coalition: a chosen what-if, not a prediction for this seat.

2022 result used for this comparison

Labor 42%58% Liberal

With the selected swing

Labor 33%67% Coalition

With a 9-point swing to the Coalition (a shift in vote share), it would be the Coalition 67% to Labor’s 33%, a margin of 17 points.

This assumes Labor and the Coalition are the final two here.

Source: Poll Bludger. Official ballot after nominations close on 9 November 2026.

Coalition v Labor

The swing comparison leaves out the candidates, local issues and any poll of this seat.

Sportsbet listed no market for this seat on 16 October 2026.

The 2022 general election

The Liberals received 58% of the vote between the final two, to Labor’s 42%, a margin of 8 points (the winning share above 50%). (pollbludger.net)

First preferences, 2022

5 other candidates, 10.1% between them.

See all results

South-West Coast, 2022: first-preference votes by candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Change since 2018
Roma Britnell	Liberal	19,517	42.9%	+8.4
Kylie Gaston	Labor	9,640	21.2%	-3.4
Carol Altmann	Independent	6,564	14.4%	New
James Purcell	Independent	2,737	6%	New
Thomas Campbell	Greens	2,457	5.4%	-0.8
Jim Doukas	Independent	1,865	4.1%	New
Chris Brunt	Family First	924	2%	New
Jacinta Anderson	Animal Justice	688	1.5%	+1.4
Michael McCluskey	Independent	616	1.4%	New
James Brash Grimley	Justice	488	1.1%	New

Final two in the count: Roma Britnell (Liberal) 58% · Kylie Gaston (Labor) 42%. 45,496 formal votes, 2,723 informal. (pollbludger.net)

Updated 19 October 2026Version details