Sandringham

Current member: Brad Rowswell (Liberal)Standing again

Swing comparison

Coalition advantage

Our published comparison is a 9-point swing to the Coalition: a chosen what-if, not a prediction for this seat.

2022 result used for this comparison

Labor 45%55% Liberal

With the selected swing

Labor 36%64% Coalition

With a 9-point swing to the Coalition (a shift in vote share), it would be the Coalition 64% to Labor’s 36%, a margin of 14 points.

This assumes Labor and the Coalition are the final two here.

Announced candidates

Anthony BlightOne Nation
Timon FatakisGreens
Brad RowswellLiberalSitting member
Anastasia Sagris-DesmondLabor
Lauren StevensonVictorian Socialists

Source: Poll Bludger. Official ballot after nominations close on 9 November 2026.

What to watch

The likely final two (our assessment)

Coalition v Labor

What remains uncertain

The swing comparison leaves out the candidates, local issues and any poll of this seat.

Betting market

Sportsbet listed no market for this seat on 16 October 2026.

Gambling help: 1800 858 858 or gamblinghelponline.org.au.

Last election results

The 2022 general election

The Liberals received 55% of the vote between the final two, to Labor’s 45%, a margin of 5 points (the winning share above 50%). (pollbludger.net)

First preferences, 2022

Brad Rowswell Liberal46.4%
Bettina Prescott Labor25.7%
Alysia Regan Greens14.7%
Clarke Martin Independent6.9%
Barbara Eppingstall Animal Justice2.4%

3 other candidates, 3.9% between them.

See all results

Sandringham, 2022: first-preference votes by candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Change since 2018
Brad Rowswell	Liberal	18,783	46.4%	+3.8
Bettina Prescott	Labor	10,426	25.7%	-7.4
Alysia Regan	Greens	5,949	14.7%	+6.5
Clarke Martin	Independent	2,800	6.9%	-1.5
Barbara Eppingstall	Animal Justice	976	2.4%	-0.9
Karla Zmegac	Democratic Labour	749	1.8%	-1.0
Jill Chalmers	Family First	714	1.8%	New
Rodney Campbell	Independent	115	0.3%	New

Final two in the count: Brad Rowswell (Liberal) 55.2% · Bettina Prescott (Labor) 44.9%. 40,512 formal votes, 1,699 informal. The swing comparison uses the final-two figure in our worksheet, which differs from this count by a few tenths. (pollbludger.net)

Updated 19 October 2026Version details

Published: 19 October 2026 at 12:37 am AEDT
Data up to: 16 October 2026
Model: Worksheet swing comparison 1.2.0, settings 1.4
Version: rel-20261018T133610Z-5cf34c2d