Narracan
- Current member
- Wayne Farnham (Liberal)Standing again
Our call
Not settled
In 2023 the final two here were the Liberals and an independent. Our swing comparison only covers seats fought between Labor and the Coalition, so it doesn’t apply here.
Announced candidates
- Geoff DethlefsFamily First
- Wayne FarnhamLiberalSitting member
- Jannette LangleyLabor
- Ben LucasOne Nation
- Moss PageVictorian Socialists
- Alyssa WeaverGreens
Source: Poll Bludger. Official ballot after nominations close on 9 November 2026.
What to watch
The likely final two (our assessment)
Coalition v Independent
Our interpretation
- As at 13 October 2026: The last result here is the 28 January 2023 supplementary election, the Liberals against an independent, so the 9-point swing isn’t applied. Who is standing now isn’t confirmed. (vec.vic.gov.au)
Betting market
Sportsbet listed no market for this seat on 16 October 2026.
Gambling help: 1800 858 858 or gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Last election results
The 2023 supplementary election
Liberal 63%37% Independent
The Liberals received 63% of the vote between the final two, to an independent’s 37%, a margin of 13 points (the winning share above 50%). (pollbludger.net, vec.vic.gov.au)
Updated Version details
- Published
- 19 October 2026 at 12:37 am AEDT
- Data up to
- 16 October 2026
- Model
- Worksheet swing comparison 1.2.0, settings 1.4
- Version
- rel-20261018T133610Z-5cf34c2d