Macedon

Current member: Mary-Anne Thomas (Labor)Retiring (announced 10 April 2026)

Mary-Anne Thomas is retiring; Labor’s candidate is Annette Death.

Swing comparison

Our published comparison is a 9-point swing to the Coalition: a chosen what-if, not a prediction for this seat.

2022 result used for this comparison

Labor 59.5%40.5% Coalition

With the selected swing

Labor 50.5%49.5% Coalition

With a 9-point swing to the Coalition (a shift in vote share), it would be Labor 50.5% to the Coalition’s 49.5%, a margin of 0.5 points.

This assumes Labor and the Coalition are the final two here.

Announced candidates

Annette DeathLabor
Kate KendallLiberal
Natalie KorinfskyAnimal Justice
Marley McRae McLeodGreens
Damien ParolinOne Nation
Catherine WilsonVictorian Socialists

Source: Poll Bludger. Official ballot after nominations close on 9 November 2026.

What to watch

The likely final two (our assessment)

Labor v Coalition

What has changed

Mary-Anne Thomas is retiring, as announced on 10 April 2026.

What remains uncertain

The swing comparison leaves out the candidates, local issues and any poll of this seat.

Betting market

Sportsbet listed no market for this seat on 16 October 2026.

Gambling help: 1800 858 858 or gamblinghelponline.org.au.

Last election results

The 2022 general election

Labor received 59.5% of the vote between the final two, to the Coalition’s 40.5%, a margin of 9.5 points (the winning share above 50%). (pollbludger.net)

First preferences, 2022

Mary-Anne Thomas Labor41.4%
Dominic Bonanno Liberal30%
Marley McRae McLeod Greens12.5%
Huntly Barton Independent5.4%
Amanda Evezard One Nation3.6%

3 other candidates, 7.1% between them.

See all results

Macedon, 2022: first-preference votes by candidate
Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Change since 2018
Mary-Anne Thomas	Labor	17,234	41.4%	-6.6
Dominic Bonanno	Liberal	12,463	30%	-1.9
Marley McRae McLeod	Greens	5,214	12.5%	+2.7
Huntly Barton	Independent	2,250	5.4%	New
Amanda Evezard	One Nation	1,511	3.6%	New
Iris Bergmann	Animal Justice	1,356	3.3%	-0.7
Chris McCormack	Family First	791	1.9%	New
Kerryn P. Sedgman	Freedom	770	1.9%	New

Final two in the count: Mary-Anne Thomas (Labor) 59.5% · Dominic Bonanno (Liberal) 40.5%. 41,589 formal votes, 1,974 informal. (pollbludger.net)

Updated 19 October 2026Version details

Published: 19 October 2026 at 12:37 am AEDT
Data up to: 16 October 2026
Model: Worksheet swing comparison 1.2.0, settings 1.4
Version: rel-20261018T133610Z-5cf34c2d